Research on momentum conversion in sports

Abstract

Momentum, traditionally examined in sports, is an ability to increase or develop continuously, impacting mental and physical performance in a pattern akin to human preferences, which are complex and non-linear. This research explores momentum in sports, particularly tennis, integrating it with the economic concept of diminishing marginal utility to analyze momentum shifts. Using data from the 2023 Wimbledon men's singles, the study dissects momentum into absolute and relative measures, revealing server advantage and precise models with an R-square value of 0.877. It employs macro and micro perspectives to link momentum with success, affirming its significant impact on win rates and performance dimensions. A GARCH model identifies influential factors in momentum transitions, informing strategies for game control. Applying the model to basketball, specifically a 2024 Clippers-Celtics NBA game, maintains strong predictive capabilities, indicating its broader applicability. Practical recommendations for tennis coaches and players, grounded in empirical findings, conclude the study, emphasizing strategic momentum utilization.